2023 Philadelphia Phillies Stat Predictions

Following a 2022 season in which the Philadelphia Phillies exceeded all expectations, they look to be even better in 2023. Although the face of the franchise, Bryce Harper, will be out of action until the all-star break, the Phillies are still in a great position to compete without him. With the addition of perennial all-star Trea Turner, and big improvements looming from young players such as Alec Bohm and Bryson Stott, the Phillies are poised to make another big playoff run in 2023. But how will they perform in the regular season? We think we know. Read along with us as we predict every projected starter’s stat line for the 2023 season. Let us know your thoughts in the comments!

Fox News

The 2023 Philadelphia Phillies Lineup

Before we get started, this is a refresher of what the Phillies lineup will most likely look like in 2023 (when healthy, of course).

  • 1) Kyle Schwarber, (L), 7
  • 2) Trea Turner, (R), 6
  • 3) J.T. Realmuto, (R), 2
  • 4) Bryce Harper, (L) DH
  • 5) Nick Castellanos, (R), 9
  • 6) Bryson Stott, (L), 4
  • 7) Rhys Hoskins, (R), 3
  • 8) Brandon Marsh, (L), 8
  • 9) Alec Bohm, (R), 5

Now, I know what you’re thinking, “Wow, this lineup is stacked,” and you’re correct. The Phillies, months removed from making the World Series, somehow got better. There might not be a single hole in the Phillies lineup, and barring any injuries, here’s how we think everybody will do:

Bleacher Report

1) Kyle Schwarber, LF

Kyle Schwarber had the best season of his career for the Fightins in 2022, posting a .218 BA with an .827 OPS (130 OPS+), to go along with an NL leading 46 home runs and 21 doubles in 669 plate appearances. With the shift no longer playing a part in the 2023 season, Schwarber only looks to be better, as he is a majority-pull hitter. Schwarber isn’t your prototypical leadoff hitter, but he fits the role perfectly in Philadelphia. Expect more big numbers in 2023 from everybody’s favorite Wawa spokesman.

HR: 43, 2B: 28, RBI: 101, .243 BA, .367 OBP, .513 SLG, .880 OPS, 133 OPS+

CBS Sports

2) Trea Turner, SS

The newest addition to the Phillies lineup is an on-base machine. In 2022, with the Dodgers, Turner posted a .298 BA, with an .809 OPS (121 OPS+), to go along with 21 home runs and 39 doubles in 708 plate appearances. With similar, if not better, protection behind him in the Phillies lineup compared to 2022 in Los Angeles, we don’t expect his numbers to take a hit in the slightest, with potential for improvement.

HR: 23, 2B: 41, RBI: 99, .309 BA, .387 OBP, .488 SLG, .375 OPS, 125 OPS+

The Good Phight

3) J.T. Realmuto, C

J.T. Realmuto was probably the Phillies’ best hitter in 2022. With Bryce Harper missing multiple months with injury, Realmuto put the team on his back and helped Philadelphia stay successful during that time. In 2022, Realmuto posted a .276 BA, with an .820 OPS (129 OPS+), to go along with 22 home runs and 36 doubles in 562 plate appearances. Although the Phillies went out and got Trea Turner, Bryce Harper will miss the first half of the 2023 season, which puts more pressure on the shoulders of Realmuto, but we believe he won’t fold under that pressure, and he will continue to produce at a high level.

HR: 24, 2B: 33, RBI: 97, .282 BA, .355 OBP, .480 SLG, .835 OPS, 124 OPS+

Yahoo! Sports

4) Bryce Harper, DH

Bryce Harper is expected to miss over half of the 2023 season. However, when Harper’s healthy, he is the best player on this talented Phillies squad. In a limited 2022, Harper posted a .286 BA, with an .877 OPS (145 OPS+), to go along with 18 home runs and 28 doubles in 426 plate appearances. Once Harper returns in 2023, sometime after the all-star break, the Phillies automatically get much better. Expect big things from Harper once he eventually makes his 2023 debut.

HR: 16, 2B: 25, RBI: 49, .324 BA, .412 OBP, .609 SLG, 1.021 OPS, 184 OPS+

Philadelphia Inquirer

5) Nick Castellanos, RF

Nick Castellanos’ first year in Philadelphia was underwhelming. Fans had super high expectations for Castellanos after he was signed, and after his 2021 season, we see why. However, in 2022, Castellanos posted a .263 BA, with a .694 OPS (95 OPS+), to go along with 13 home runs and 27 doubles in 558 plate appearances. Castellanos did produce well at the plate before his wrist injury in May, but it all went downhill after. In 2023, we expect Castellanos to have a big bounce-back season and return (somewhat) to the player we saw in 2021.

HR: 23, 2B: 41, RBI: 91, .287 BA, .341 OBP, .499 SLG, .840 OPS, 126 OPS+


6) Bryson Stott, 2B

Bryson Stott had a solid rookie year in 2022, posting a .234 BA with a .653 OPS (94 OPS+), to go along with ten home runs and 19 doubles in 466 plate appearances. Philadelphia has shown that they are all in on Stott, designating SS Didi Gregorius for assignment in 2022, giving Stott the keys to the position, and now, giving Stott the keys to 2B after the signing of SS Trea Turner, and the departure of fan-favorite 2B Jean Segura. Stott showed improvement at the plate towards the latter half of the 2022 season, and we expect him to continue that progression in 2023.

HR: 16, 2B: 24, RBI: 68, .270 BA, .342 OBP, .432 SLG, .774 OPS, 109 OPS+

The Liberty Line

7) Rhys Hoskins, 1B

Rhys Hoskins is a slugging machine. In 2022, Hoskins posted a .246 BA, with a .794 OPS (122 OPS+), to go along with 30 home runs and 33 doubles in 672 plate appearances. Hoskins has some clear fielding issues at first base. However, his production at the plate more than makes up for the lack of an above-average glove. The Phillies are built to hit, and Hoskins is a perfect example of that. Hoskins has been consistent throughout his career in Philadelphia, and we don’t expect that to change in 2023.

HR: 31, 2B: 30, RBI: 73, .250 BA, .338 OBP, .463 SLG, .801 OPS, 123 OPS+

Fast Philly Sports

8) Brandon Marsh, CF

After he was traded to the Phillies on August 2nd, Brandon Marsh shortened his swing and heavily improved his production compared to how he was producing for the Angels. For the Phillies in 2022, Marsh posted a .288 BA, with a .773 OPS (116 OPS+), to go along with 3 home runs and nine doubles in 138 plate appearances. This looks to be the Brandon Marsh we will see in 2023. Less power but more consistent hitting overall. The Phillies are super high on Marsh, trading one of their top prospects in C Logan O’Hoppe for him, and Marsh looks to show everybody why in 2023.

HR: 12, 2B: 27, RBI: 55, .267 BA, .321 OBP, .412 SLG, .733 OPS, 108 OPS+


9) Alec Bohm, 3B

Alec Bohm had a subpar 2021 after his stellar 2020 rookie season. However, Bohm picked back up his production in 2022, posting a .280 BA (over .300 for the majority of 2022), with a .713 OPS (100 OPS+), to go along with 13 home runs and 24 doubles in 631 plate appearances. We fully expect Bohm’s power numbers to rise in 2023, as it appears that Bohm has bulked up quite a bit in the offseason. With Bohm batting 9th in this lineup, the Phillies will have one of baseball’s most productive 9-hole hitters. Bohm is a great barrel-to-ball hitter, and that looks to continue to be the case in 2023.

HR: 20, 2B: 29, RBI: 69, .288 BA, .324 OBP, .434 SLG, .758 OPS, 110 OPS+

Nate Hartnett

Philadelphia Phillies Writer for Inside The Diamonds

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