Chicago Cubs 2026 Trade Deadline Outlook 07/13/2026

Spring Training has started

The Chicago Cubs are currently 54-42. The Cubs have a half-game lead over Philadelphia for the first Wild Card spot. They are firmly positioned as aggressive buyers as the August 3rd deadline looms. The team is trailing the Brewers in the division. However, they are on a 90-win pace. They look ready to secure a postseason berth for the second consecutive year.

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Where the Team Stands Right Now

The North Siders are a dangerous club with a top-tier offense. Unfortunately, injuries have severely affected their pitching staff. Cade Horton is out for the year. Key starters like Justin Steele, Jameson Taillon, and Edward Cabrera have recently spent significant time on the shelf. Regardless of these hurdles, the Chicago Cubs’ run differential indicates a strong potential. The 71.3% playoff odds also show this approach. The Cubs are a real threat if they can stabilize the rotation and a shaky “bullpen” before October.

Players Most Likely to Be Traded

The Chicago Cubs, as buyers, are more likely to move high-end prospects. A few names on the active roster could be involved in a “change of scenery” swap as well. Matt Shaw is the biggest name to watch. He is a former top prospect with a projected 19-home run ceiling. Shaw earns a low pre-arbitration salary. This makes him an incredibly valuable chip for a team looking for a future cornerstone. One more name is Kevin Alcántara, who is in his final option year and blocked by a deep major-league outfield. While Alex Bregman (32.5million)∗∗and∗∗DansbySwanson(25.3 million) anchor the payroll, the front office has enough wiggle room under the luxury tax to take on significant salary for the right arm.

Potential Trade Targets

The focus is singular: pitching, pitching, and more pitching.

  • Joe Ryan (Twins): He is the “ideal” target, carrying a 3.36 ERA and team control through 2027 at an affordable $6.2 million.
  • Reid Detmers (Angels): A young lefty with elite peripherals (3.08 FIP) who is under team control through 2028.
  • Mason Miller (Padres): For the bullpen, Miller is the dream addition. He throws over 100 MPH with a 40.1% strikeout rate and wouldn’t hit free agency until 2030.
  • Sonny Gray (Red Sox): A veteran “dream” target who provides an immediate 2.61 ERA, though he would cost roughly $16 million in salary and buyout obligations.

Key Prospects To Watch

To land a frontline starter, Jed Hoyer will have to dip into the farm system. Obtaining an elite closer like Miller also requires this. The system has slightly declined in rankings. However, it still has elite talent. Jefferson Rojas will be a desired prospect in any trade discussions the Cubs have. Despite his incredible bat, Moises Ballesteros has enough defensive questions, but he is a prime candidate as a full-time DH. Finally, Jaxon Wiggins is a flamethrower. He remains a high-upside piece. Rebuilding teams like the Athletics or Angels would covet him in a blockbuster deal.

What Should the Front Office Do?

The recommendation is clear: Go all-in on cost-controlled starting pitching. With Shota Imanaga and Jameson Taillon hitting free agency soon, the Chicago Cubs need arms that help now and in 2027. Hoyer should take advantage of the surplus of infield talent. He can use players like Matt Shaw to acquire a top-of-the-rotation arm, such as Joe Ryan or Reid Detmers. Adding one of those starters would make a big difference. The group would benefit from adding a high-leverage reliever like Mason Miller. A reunion with Aroldis Chapman would help elevate them from a Wild Card hopeful to a legitimate World Series contender.

The window is wide open, and the payroll wiggle room is there. It’s time to move the chips in and make Wrigley a fortress this October.

Which of these targets are best? Consider how they would look in a Chicago Cubs uniform for a deep playoff run?

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