I went 2-1 yesterday. I should have easily been 3-0. I had E-Rod over 4.5 strikeouts and that hit in 2.1 innings. I also has Orioles and Brewers -1.5 over two terrible teams. The Orioles got out to a 6-0 lead and I was ready to declare a win, when the Royals stormed back. At one point it was 9-8 Orioles, then they pulled away late to cover. The Brewers were up 4-0 through 6 innings and lost the damn game to the Rockies. Wasn’t it just a year ago that the Brewers bullpen was the best in the league?
Fortunately a few bets I didn’t officially post hit so I covered my losses from a crappy week. Red Sox and Blue Jays Over was easy, Braves -1.5, no problem. And, Anthony Santander hit a homerun in the top of the 1st inning in KC at +650.
Let’s get on a hot streak. 52-46 on the season:
Pick #1
Justin Steele to record Over 17.5 outs, -120
Steele has gone 6 innings,or more, in all but one start. The Cubs are on a 3 game losing streak and are going to jump on Steele’s back today to get back on track vs. the Marlins
Pick #2
Blue Jays @ Pirates, Total Over 9 Runs, -105
Toronto games have gone over 5 of the last 6 games, Pirates only scored 4 runs in Tampa Bay, but should be happy to be home and see Chris Bassitt. Rich Hill goes for the Bucs, and the Jays are very familiar with him.
Pick #3
Red Sox @ Phillies, Phillies -.5 1st 5 inning run line, -125
Zack Wheeler vs Chris Sale. There’s a slight chance that we see the good Chris Sale…there’s a better chance he allows 4-5 runs in 4 innings. Wheeler has settled into a groove after a slow-ish start to the season.
Reach
Ozzie Albies to hit a homerun, +550
Paul Goldschmidt to hit a home run, +360
Ozzie is barreling everything right now. He hits more home runs from the left side, which he’ll be doing tonight vs Righty Dean Kremer, who has allowed 7 home runs in 29 innings.
Goldschmidt has only hit 4 home runs, but he is facing a mediocre lefty and at some point hitters are going to hit. I look forward to Marmol getting canned so we can bet on the Cardinals to get really hot.